As baby boomers continue to turn age 65, the growth in population aged 15–64 slows until 2031–32 and then accelerates slightly over the remainder of the projection. The average age-sex distribution pattern for immigrants observed over the past five years is assumed to remain constant over the entire projection period. Growth in the other census divisions of the GTA (Durham, Halton, Peel and York) overall is projected to be significantly faster than the Ontario average, with the addition of over 2.1 million people to the suburban GTA. Deaths exceeded births in 23 of Ontario’s 49 census divisions over the past five years. A separate analysis and projection of each component of population growth is made for each year, starting with births. The number of people aged 75 and over is projected to rise from 1.1 million in 2018 to 2.8 million by 2046. Projected shares of non-permanent residents for each census division, as well as their distribution by age and sex, are based on the estimates on July 1, 2018. It is now possible, therefore, to calculate projected population change for 2011-2036 on a consistent basis for 63 Primary Urban Areas (PUAs), i.e. The numbers of births and deaths have been rising slowly, while natural increase has declined from 53,000 to 41,000 over the last decade. By 2046, there will be more people in every single year of age in Ontario compared to 2018, with a sharp increase in the number of seniors. In 2018, the highest share of children was found in Kenora at 21.7 per cent and the lowest share in Haliburton at 9.4 per cent. To help the region and its communities plan for a changing and uncertain future, MAPC has prepared projections of population change, household growth, and housing demand for Metro Boston and its municipalities. Between 2003 and 2015, net interprovincial migration to Ontario was negative, largely due to net outflows to Alberta. The year-to-year change in their total number must be accounted for as a component of population growth in the projections. In the second half of the projections, the contribution of natural increase will moderate once all baby boomers will have reached their senior years, and the number of deaths will start to increase more rapidly. Find out how we can help. A general and common trend is that a growing proportion of women are postponing births to their 30s and early 40s. Over the remainder of the projections, the annual number of deaths increases faster, to reach 171,000 by 2045–46. In the high-growth scenario, the annual population growth rate is projected to decrease gradually from 2.1 per cent to 1.6 per cent between 2018 and 2046. Population Projections to the Year 2050: IIASA Scenarios for Europe and the World - Volume 21 Issue 1 - Elisabeth Krippl Over the past few years, the share of immigrants to Canada settling in Ontario has been increasing, from 36.8 per cent in calendar year 2014 to 42.8 per cent in 2018. The long-range population projections presented here, prepared by the United Nations Population Division, cover the period from 1950 to 2150. This is followed by higher growth rates culminating at 2.7% in 1988-89, with a lower peak of 1.8% in 2000-01, trending lower to 0.7% in 2014-15, and finally reaching 1.8% in 2017-18. The Ontario-level mortality structure was applied to each census division’s age structure over the most recent six years of comparable data and the expected number of deaths was computed. The projected number of births for any given year is obtained by applying age-specific fertility rates to cohorts of women in the reproductive age group, ages 15 to 49. Conversely, the majority of rural and northern census divisions are projected to have significantly fewer children by 2046, with the largest declines in the North. The population of Southwestern Ontario is projected to grow from 1.68 million in 2018 to 2.10 million in 2046, an increase of 24.7 per cent. Nearly 90 per cent of immigrants coming to Ontario in 2017–18 were aged 0–44. These are important questions that all local authorities face. The detailed results of the computation of population projections for Singapore by sex and for time-intervals of five years from 1980 to 2070. Statistics Canada publishes annual estimates of these flows based on a variety of sources, such as administrative data files and immigration statistics published by agencies of foreign countries. Table 1 Historical and projected population for Ontario under three scenarios, 2011–2046, Table 2 Ontario population and selected characteristics, 2011–2046 (reference, low and high scenarios), Table 3 Components of demographic growth for Ontario, 2011–2046 (reference, low and high scenarios), Table 4 Historical and projected population by census division, selected years — reference scenario, Table 5 Historical and projected share of Ontario population by census division, selected years — reference scenario, Table 6 Ontario population by age, 2018–2046 — reference scenario, Table 7 Total, male and female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario, Table 8 Total, male and female population of Ontario by five-year age group,